Wednesday, 22 May 2024

TOURISM IS DESTROYING ISLAND ENVIRONMENTS AND LOCAL PEOPLES.


22 May 2024


The irony - just as we are discovering the traditional charms of islands, they are being destroyed by over-tourism, rocketing real estate prices as wealthy foreigners buy in. This is the same for Mallorca, as for Bali, and maybe sunny islands with liberal economic and social climates everywhere.

It is more marked in Majorca as the foreigners from Northern Europe are now buying into the hinterland, having bought up along the coast, transforming the demographic and socio-economic landscape. The locals are in revolt. Could a similar takeover be mounted in Gibraltar? Perhaps not the Falkland Islands...

Then there are the cruise liners and the serious pollution they cause.

EU reg.s mean that the locals lose control of their Balearic Islands, and house prices for their children take off. 

Again, a phenomenon we are familiar with: take down the borders and let the global rich come in and pick over your assets. Let them build their secluded, gated, inland, high-security settlements (sorry, "enclaves") and run your islands for their benefit, using your people as cheap labour. We could call this "soft apartheid". Of course, it doesn't help the regular tourist, but at least the tourist is a visitor and not part of the interned labour camp.

Where will this trend lead to? It looks like the Balearic Islands are becoming an important economic tax-collection hub for the government in Madrid, same same Bali for Jakarta. Maybe a third or half of Bali's tourists are from Indonesia itself, notably from Java, so difficult to control by visa, but Bali does have a tourist tax, which is quite low at the moment. The idea being to choke off the poorer tourists and focus on those with money, ie go upmarket, which is of course every tourist resort's dream.

But this is all part of the problem that many of us find ourselves commenting on almost every day, where the only thing that counts is the economy and that means, let's get real about this, the financial interests principally of the global elite. 

While in Bali, there is a great sense of peace and mutual respect between the Hindu and Muslim populations, nonetheless, there is some annoyance that lower skilled job availability in Bali is pulling in labour from Java to compete with local-born, keeping down the wages of the poorer indigenous Balinese people. 

Nor is Bali a very diverse economy. It depends 80% on tourism. And this makes it very vulnerable. Covid was a very bad time for the people of Bali, though good for nature, and bad for Thailand too and tourist resorts everywhere. To the credit of governments, they did not run up massive debts on unnecessary protection programs that were in reality huge opportunities for elite corruption.

Our politicians have no concept of balance between economic benefits (from tourism in this case) and foreign investment (in real estate) and, importantly, respect for local culture, people and the environment (maintaining affordable living conditions for the local population, preserving the island's unique character that includes a clean nature, releasing change on people at a pace the human animal can take). These invasions are stressing local peoples everywhere.

Once again, this demonstrates the limits, or purposes, that a liberal democratic system of governance can offer to ordinary people.

Monday, 13 May 2024

FRANCE'S PLACE IN THE WORLD

13 May 2024


https://youtu.be/2237v_tTvsQ?si=SojzNVtPt-GXmTfd

Consider the values liberty, equality, and fraternity and how France has leverage its part in political or moral philosophy to increase its power on the world stage. 

These disciplines explore the ethical foundations and implications of political and social systems, examining how societies organise themselves and the values that underpin these structures.

France's Contributions to Political Philosophy

1. The Enlightenment Era

France was a central hub during the Enlightenment, a period which significantly shaped modern political thought. Philosophers like Voltaire, Rousseau, and Montesquieu explored concepts of democracy, justice, and the separation of powers that influenced political systems worldwide.

2. The French Revolution

The slogan "Liberté, Égalité, Fraternité" became a rallying call during the French Revolution and was later enshrined as the national motto of France. The revolution itself was a profound event that reshaped not only French but global political landscapes, promoting ideas of republican democracy and human rights.

3. Human Rights

France was instrumental in the development of universal human rights, with the Declaration of the Rights of Man and of the Citizen in 1789 serving as a foundational text in the history of human rights.

Impact on Global Role and Influence

France’s advocacy for these values certainly plays a crucial part in its global role and influence

- Diplomatic Identity

France’s identity as a champion of liberty, equality, and fraternity bolsters its diplomatic relationships, particularly in nations that share these ideals or aspire to them. This historical commitment to humanistic values helps France maintain a moral authority in international forums.

- Soft Power

These values enhance France's soft power, allowing it to influence other nations through cultural diplomacy, international aid, and global advocacy. For instance, France's active role in advocating for human rights and democratic values aligns it with other liberal democracies and influences its positions within international organizations like the UN and EU.

- Domestic and International Policy

These principles are reflected in France's domestic policies and its approach to international issues. For example, France’s leadership in global climate change discussions and its push for a European "social model" that balances economic competitiveness with social equity are informed by these values.

Conclusion

France’s embrace of liberty, equality, and fraternity has not only shaped its national identity but also its international posture. As a country that continues to hold these values at the forefront of its public and foreign policy, France leverages them to enhance its global influence and leadership.

Sunday, 12 May 2024

SOME OF LONDON'S LIVELIER NEIGHBOURHOODS

12 May 2024


Thinking about moving? Looking for a lively London neighbourhood? Here are a few places for you to consider.

We will look at :
Golders Green,Cricklewood, South Kensington,  Marylebone, Chelsea, Fulham, Kentish Town and Camden



Golders Green. Local History.

And is it a good area to raise a family?

What is the cost of accommodation this year?


Golders Green, London: History and Family-Friendliness

1. Historical Overview

Golders Green is an area in the London Borough of Barnet, known for its rich history and cultural diversity. Historically, it was a part of Middlesex and developed significantly with the arrival of the tube station in 1907, which spurred its growth as a suburban residential area. It became notably cosmopolitan in the early 20th century with a significant Jewish community, alongside other immigrant populations, contributing to its diverse cultural fabric.

2. Family-Friendliness

Golders Green is considered a good area to raise a family due to several factors:

- Education: The area boasts a range of reputable schools, contributing to its appeal for families.

- Green Spaces: It offers numerous parks and green spaces, such as the Golders Hill Park and the adjoining Hampstead Heath, providing ample outdoor recreational opportunities for children and adults alike.

- Community and Safety: It has a strong sense of community with relatively low crime rates compared to more central areas of London.

- Amenities: There are excellent local amenities including shops, cafes, restaurants, and cultural facilities like the Golders Green Hippodrome.

3. Cost of Accommodation

As of 2023, the cost of accommodation in Golders Green can be considered relatively high, reflective of its London location and the amenities it offers. Property prices and rental costs tend to be above average for London:

- Buying: Average house prices in Golders Green can range significantly but typically start from around £500,000 for smaller properties like apartments, with larger family homes going well into the millions.

- Renting: Rental prices also vary; a one-bedroom apartment might cost between £1,200 to £1,500 per month, while larger family homes could range from £2,500 to over £4,000 per month depending on the size and exact location.

4. Conclusion

Golders Green offers a vibrant, culturally rich environment with good schools, ample amenities, and excellent green spaces, making it a desirable location for families. However, the cost of living, particularly housing, is on the higher side, which is an important consideration for anyone planning to move there.

What is the difference between Cricklewood and the Golders Green?

 

Cricklewood and Golders Green: Comparing Two London Neighbourhoods

Both Cricklewood and Golders Green are neighbourhoods within the London Borough of Barnet, yet they have distinct characteristics and appeal.

1. Location and Atmosphere

- Golders Green: Located closer to central London than Cricklewood, Golders Green is known for its vibrant Jewish community and cultural diversity. It has a bustling atmosphere, particularly around the main shopping and dining areas near the tube station. The area feels more cosmopolitan and has a more established, affluent vibe.

 

- Cricklewood: Situated to the west of Golders Green, Cricklewood has a more mixed urban feel with a significant Irish and Polish community, among others. It is generally considered more residential and less upscale than Golders Green. The area has been undergoing regeneration, improving its appeal but maintaining a more laid-back, less polished character compared to Golders Sreen.

2. Housing and Cost of Living

- Golders Green: Typically, property prices and rents in Golders Green are higher than in Cricklewood. The area offers a range of housing options from large detached houses to modern apartments, attracting middle to upper-class residents.

- Cricklewood: Housing here is often more affordable, offering good value especially for larger properties. The area has a mix of Victorian and Edwardian houses along with newer developments. This makes it attractive to a broader demographic, including young professionals and families looking for more space at a lower cost.

3. Amenities and Transport

- Golders Green: Well-known for its excellent amenities including a wide variety of shops, restaurants, and cafes that reflect its diverse community. It also boasts good schools and recreational facilities like Golders Hill Park. Transport links are strong with the Golders Green tube station providing access to the Northern Line.

- Cricklewood: While it has essential local amenities and some nice local parks, it is generally less well-served compared to Golders Green. However, it has good transport links, with Cricklewood railway station offering services to central London and other destinations, and several bus routes connecting to nearby areas.

4. Community and Lifestyle

- Golders Green: The area's significant Jewish population influences local culture, cuisine, and festivals, contributing to a unique community vibe. It’s a place with a strong community feel, supported by various community centers and synagogues.

- Cricklewood: Has a more diverse, working-class atmosphere with a strong sense of community spirit. It's seen as a more down-to-earth area where various cultural communities interact more seamlessly.

5. Conclusion

Choosing between Cricklewood and Golders Green largely depends on one's budget, desired lifestyle, and community atmosphere. Golders Green offers a more upscale, diverse environment with excellent amenities and transport links, suitable for those looking for a vibrant, culturally rich area. Cricklewood, on the other hand, may appeal more to those seeking a quieter, more affordable place to live, with decent access to central London but a less polished day-to-day environment. Both neighbourhoods provide unique benefits, making them attractive to different types of residents.

 Is there a neighbourhood in London, or neighbourhoods, that is known for its French population?


South Kensington

Yes, the neighbourhood of South Kensington in London is particularly well-known for its substantial French population. This area, often referred to as the "French Quarter," has a vibrant French community, largely due to the presence of several French institutions. Here are some features that contribute to its French character:

1. French Institutions: South Kensington is home to the French Consulate, the French Institute which includes a cinema, library, and French language school, and the Lycée Français Charles de Gaulle, a prominent French international school that attracts many French families living in London.

2. Shops and Cafés: The area boasts a variety of French shops, bakeries, and cafés that cater to the French community. Places like La Cave à Fromage and Maison Puget offer authentic French goods and cuisine.

3. Cultural Activities: The French Institute frequently hosts cultural events, including French film screenings, art exhibitions, and lectures, all of which strengthen the French cultural presence in the area.

4. Community: The concentration of French amenities and institutions has fostered a tight-knit community, making it a preferred destination for French expatriates in London.

This French influence not only defines the character of South Kensington but also makes it a cultural hub for French nationals and Francophiles in London.

 

Is that the only French neighbourhood in London?

 

While South Kensington is the most notable area with a concentrated French presence in London, there are other areas where French expatriates tend to reside, though these communities might be less visibly distinct compared to the "French Quarter."

1. Marylebone: This upscale neighbourhood in central London has a number of French boutiques, bakeries, and bistros, reflecting a significant French presence. It is also popular due to its central location and proximity to various cultural and shopping destinations.

2. Chelsea: Another affluent area that attracts French residents, Chelsea offers a cosmopolitan lifestyle with its high-end shops, galleries, and restaurants. It’s a popular choice for families, including many French expats, due to its reputable schools and beautiful residential streets.

3. Fulham: Close to Chelsea, Fulham is another area popular among French families, particularly those with children attending the Lycée Français Charles de Gaulle. It is known for its village-like feel, parks, and family-friendly amenities.

4. Kentish Town and Camden: These areas have become increasingly popular with younger French professionals and families, drawn by relatively more affordable housing compared to central London and vibrant local cultures.

These areas do not have the same level of institutional French presence as South Kensington but still attract a sizeable number of French expatriates due to their amenities, lifestyle offerings, and sometimes, proximity to French schools or cultural institutions. Each neighbourhood offers a unique blend of London charm and French cultural influences, making them attractive to French residents.

 

Average cost of three bedroom rental – house and apartment

 Data is for 2023.

Neighbourhood

Average Cost of 3-Bedroom House (per month)

Average Cost of 3-Bedroom Apartment (per month)

South Kensington

£5,500 - £8,000

£4,500 - £7,000

Marylebone

£4,000 - £6,500

£3,500 - £5,500

Chelsea

£5,000 - £7,500

£4,000 - £6,000

Fulham

£3,000 - £4,500

£2,500 - £4,000

Kentish Town

£2,500 - £3,500

£2,000 - £3,000

Camden

£3,000 - £4,500

£2,500 - £4,000

Golders Green

£2,500 - £4,000

£1,800 - £3,500

Cricklewood

£2,000 - £3,000

£1,500 - £2,500

 

Tuesday, 7 May 2024

WHAT JACQUES BAUD SEES

7 May 2024

https://youtu.be/DA-a28JrbqY?si=xbFIVWDAkkVM6XAF

The quality of reporting and the understanding imparted, on the current global wars, has really evolved to very high standards. We started off with just First Impressions back in 2022 but now we're getting to a detailed understanding of the reasons for what's going on and this extends right from goals through to strategies operations and tactics in a detailed way and the equipment that is being used.

Jacques Baud a former Swiss Army intelligence officer who speaks English incidentally) is a master of this and and this Youtube pres is a Master Class in fact.

JACQUES BAUD

For those who don't know who Jacques Baud is.

You might wonder how someone working in the Swiss Army can have such a detailed realistic and balanced point of view and how the mountains of Switzerland can raise such a insightful contrarian Western military historian.

Well to his credit, or by way of a reference, Jacques Baud used to be a battlefield Commander, which is where you have to understand what's really going on, you face reality, chich means confronting the world as it really is, and deal with it ... or you are killed and pretty quickly too these days.

After that he was an intelligence officer, which means you collect data off the ground, and put it together into an analysis, with some conclusions, and you pass it to the politician who is the one who makes the decision.

Plus, Switzerland used to be a neutral country, with presumably a more objective view of the world.

WHAT BAUD SEES

What Jacques Baud sees is:

A new way of practicing foreign policy: passionate, disordered, without hindsight or constructive purpose. 

The immediate application of sanctions while the facts remain unclear, removing all space for diplomacy.

A Western leadership unison and censorship against dissenting voices.

A disturbing evolution of society and a growing vulnerability to manipulation. 

The creation of realities out of our prejudices.

Conspiracy as the main weapon of Western countries. 

We do what we reproach the autocrats for doing.

LINKS



Monday, 6 May 2024

FRANCE TO THE RESCUE

6 May 2024

The President of France Emmanuel Macron often talks of sending combat troops into Ukraine but can it really be true that he has done it this time and if he has, where is the risk assessment and realistically speaking, isn't it too late to save a Ukraine already on its last legs?

"France has sent its first troops officially to Ukraine. They have been deployed in support of the Ukrainian 54th Independent Mechanized Brigade in Slavyansk. The French soldiers are drawn from France's 3rd Infantry Regiment, which is one of the main elements of France's Foreign Legion (Légion étrangère)."
Stephen Bryen, a former US Deputy Under Secretary of Defense. reports in an article for the Asia Times.

Macron has said many times that he would be "Ready to Send Troops to Ukraine if Russia Approaches Kyiv or Odesa".

Asked about the possibility of a military intervention to prevent a Ukrainian defeat, he said,

“If the Russians were to break through the front lines, if there were a Ukrainian request, which is not the case today, we would legitimately have to ask ourselves this question".

This comes at a time when it seems that his generals are switching the emphasis in defense from counter-insurgency (some might say "colonial"), now they've had to leave West Africa, to matching an enemy on the battlefield. That requires a very great re-adjustment and perhaps now is not the best moment to provoke a landwar with Russia.

Scott Ritter explains what could happen. Ritter, former UN weapons inspector in Iraq, describes the escalation ladder, where as each rung is climbed the bets and risks mount fatally and irreversibly.

The placement of Foreign Legion soldiers in Slavyansk is a significant shift in military strategy and public perception. Originally, French officials, including President Macron, precised that any deployment of French troops would aim to backfill positions out of the conflict zone in western Ukraine. This would free up Ukrainian forces to redirect their efforts towards more intense conflict zones in the east.

Deploying troops directly to Slavyansk, a hot front-line location, contradicts earlier French assurances and provocative because it brings French forces - who could possibly be viewed as an extension of NATO - into direct confrontation with Russian troops, escalating France's involvement from a supportive to a combative role. 

Will Russia view this as NATO direct involvement? Will the Russians retaliate against French troops beyond Ukraine? In France? In Poland, through which they must pass to get access to Ukraine? 

This would be justified because France has chosen to be a combatant, but forcing an Article 5 vote on NATO members - perhaps Macron's underlying strategy for getting America directly involved - would be difficult if not impossible, because America and the European members of NATO have all made it perfectly clear to Macron that they do not support direct involvement of combat troops in Ukraine.

It's not obvious how this seeming unprovoked deployment could play out to Macron's or France's advantage. Presumably Macron thinks this will restore his esteem and French global prestige, but on the other hand, there are significant perhaps under appreciated risks.

1. France and possibly NATO are now in the Russian firing line. Macron can only have done this hoping to drag America directly into a confrontation with Russia, but America is implacably against boots on the ground in Ukraine and has said this many times. All Macron is succeeding in doing is risking further escalation into a Europe-wide war.

2. France treasury is at risk. France was expelled from West Africa earlier this year. France's former African colonies hold CFA Francs in their treasuries. France guarantees the CFA Franc’s convertibility into Euros through the French Treasury. What if these countries, now favourably disposed to Russia, decide to exchange their treasuries for Euros or cash out all together into gold? 

3. America must have been angered by France's failure to protect its African assets and the significant though little reported loss of face and influence.The US has followed France out of west Africa, surrendering a 100 million dollar military base in Niger to Russian troops.  Defeat and retreat from Ukraine will be another fiasco and humiliation, coming so soon on the heals of Afghanistan.

4. Uranium for the French power industry is now largely under Russian control. France depends for two thirds of its uranium on west African mines. Once again Europe finds itself at the mercy of the Russians for its energy supplies: why provoke, what is to be gained?

5. The timing of this press article is really most unfortunate. It comes at just the moment when Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC), the President of the People's Republic of China, and the Chairman of the Central Military Commission, sweeps into Europe to begin his tour in France, only to find that his host has just sent in troops to attack his best friend Putin. 

The risks to France surely greatly outweigh the doubtful benefits. France risks suffering further significant loss of prestige, starting a Europe-wide war and taking a serious hit to its already vulnerable economy.

The Russian response is hard to predict but will surely be full of surprises and setbacks for France and NATO.



Sunday, 5 May 2024

A MORNING ROUTINE

5 May 2024

ROUTINE

6:00 AM: Wake up and start with a 10-minute meditation to clear your mind.6:10 AM: Make coffee and prepare a nutritious breakfast.

6:20 AM: Begin listening to your specific news broadcasts while you continue with your morning activities like breakfast.

7:50 AM: Spend an hour updating your positions on the computer.

8:50 AM: Engage in 30 minutes of physical activity.

9:20 AM: Use the remaining time for any additional tasks or to relax before starting the rest of your day.

LINKS


Thursday, 2 May 2024

SIGNAL V. PEGASUS

2 May 2024

Pegasus is a type of spyware developed by the Israeli cyberarms firm, NSO Group ("404 forbidden" if anyone tries to access their website out of curiosity...no doubt I'm already done for...). 

It is capable of infecting iPhones and Android devices, allowing the controller to extract messages, photos, emails, and record calls and secretly activate microphones even.


The technical operation of Pegasus involves "sophisticated exploitation of security vulnerabilities", often "without any user interaction required". Once installed, it can bypass encryption, "offering deep access to the device's contents".

Scary stuff. What are our governments doing about this? This is much more than an invasion of privacy, there are known cases where German members of the Bundestag have been spied upon, and Pegasus is probably used by the IDF to target Palestinians from WhatsApp conversations, through Israel’s Lavender AI system. Do our own MPs and members of Congress even know about this? Is Signal any better?

Signal uses end-to-end encryption to secure messages so that only the sender and receiver can read them, WhatsApp and other chat apps also use Signal encryption. However, Signal stands out because it collects minimal user data. It does not store messages or metadata, such as who is messaging whom.

Signal offers additional privacy features like disappearing messages, screen security (prevents screenshots), and relay-calls that hide users' IP addresses (so a VPN wouldn't be required in this use-case).

The app is open source, ie its code is available for anyone to view, audit, and improve. This transparency helps ensure that there are no backdoors or hidden vulnerabilities.

However, although Signal itself is "renowned for its strong encryption protocols", the security can be undermined if your device is compromised. Pegasus can infect a device at a deeper system level, bypassing app-based security measures like encryption.

Then, Pegasus spyware can access Signal messages and calls, by recording them directly from the device’s screen or microphone before they are encrypted or after they are decrypted, making your device insecure.

What to do? To protect against such threats, keeping devices secure with regular updates to patch security vulnerabilities and as usual watch out for links and attachments, even from trusted sources. 

Perhaps counter-measures are available.

Conclusion: security is an illusion, just don't get too much in the way in the first place. I'm pretty confident that commonplace low-level discussions go unmonitored, after all three quarters of humanity is complaining about this and there are not enough guards to watch us all.

Assume that if they want to monitor you, they can, but on the other hand no point in overrating our importance ... they can't target 3/4 of the world's population!... they'd need an African Beheading Circle to do that.




CONCLUSION

You wouldn't choose Signal for security protection alone, you would choose it because some features that you seek are better performed than on other chat apps.

For example, screen security. WhatsApp doesn't allow you to prevent screen capture, important for banking apps for example, and nor does LINE.

LINKS