4 March 2025
Europe at a Crossroads: Stuck in the Past While the Future Moves On
European leaders have been living under the stone of American protection for too long, detached from the realities of power, from any sense of real responsibility for the future of their Union, seemingly unaware of the changing global order. Decades of passive reliance on the U.S. security umbrella have dulled strategic thinking, creating a leadership class that clings to globalist ideas and outdated alliances rather than adapting to the new multipolar world made up of self directed nations. This is despite America making it plain that it wishes to withdraw from Europe in order to focus on Asia. It seems that Europe clings to its belief and demand that America come to its rescue.
Trump emphasised to Zelensky in the Oval Office Friday that "security guarantees" would inevitably drag America into direct conflict with Russia and risk world war three. Bear in mind that this only repeated what Biden said back in 2022, and Obama said in 2015 that Russia has "escalation dominance" given Russia's geographical proximity and feeling of threat if Ukraine were to be used as a base for American missiles.
So in short, nyet means nyet and no means no, but Europe doesn't seem to get it and is threatening to go it alone, however risky or
Impossible that seems, powered by stolen Russian assets.
Denial and Stagnation: The Struggle to Adapt
This is a classic case of denial syndrome. Instead of embracing change, European leaders struggle to maintain the status quo, even as the ground beneath them shifts. Keir Starmer’s comfort embrace of Zelensky at the London Summit last Sunday was a telling moment - not a gesture of genuine strategic calculation, but a comfort-seeking reflex, clinging to familiar narratives rather than exploring real solutions.
The irony is painfully clear when looking at the European Union. The EU operates as a bureaucratic machine, obsessed with process, detached from outcome. It follows established frameworks, oblivious to whether they actually serve Europe’s long-term interests. The EU’s lack of vision is how a once-dominant continent becomes sidelined.
The Future: A New Security and Economic Order
For those willing to see straight, the future is ripe with opportunity. What if Europe rethought its security architecture to remove the threat - and cost - of perpetual war? What if it forged new economic ties with Russia and China, integrating into global supply chains rather than isolating itself? The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), digital trade networks and payment systems (Swift, MIR.. ) offer openings that could redefine Europe’s economic position - if only its leaders had the courage to pivot.
Meanwhile, America is "eating their lunch.” While Europe wastes time in summits, the real power realignment is happening elsewhere - between America, Russia, and China. Whether Europe likes it or not, that is where the future lies.
This is a time of macro economics and
government finances over geopolitics. Trump wants to reindustrialise America, restore competitivity through tariffs lower costs and increases in productivity, balance the books, end mass immigration and recreate a coherent society based on more traditional values and the work ethic.
Elon Musk, the Disruptors, and the Future of Power
Figures like Elon Musk - quite possibly America's next president - exemplify this new paradigm - a world shaped by technology, logistics, and pragmatic geopolitics, rather than outdated ideological commitments. Over the next decade, the rise of AI agents, the linking together of digital economies, the completion of transport channels and payment systems, and the expansion of space industries, will mark out the superpowers. Europe, locked in self-referential politics, suffering from severe russophobia, is failing to see where history is going and despite its wealth and size, cannot be in that list of superpowers.
This isn’t personal - it’s not about a grand conspiracy or a secret program. Sure, America is leading that way for its own survival, but it’s just progress unfolding before our eyes. The world is reshaping itself, still under American leadership, though we are now in a multipolar world. A multipolar world requires listening and cooperation. The BRICS would be happy with that and with the dollar as reserve currency, if America could be trusted.
It is a world full of emerging opportunities, but does Europe want to learn from its mistakes and join in, or not?
Thinking about it, what could happen is what Europe fears the most, which is a Russian takeover - but not by military means, it doesn't need to, by default it could simply fill the vacant position of leadership in Europe today and be welcomed in by the people. Seems unlikely? Well look at politics in central east Europe today...
Europe: On the Wrong Side of History
Watching the recent London Summit, one thing was painfully clear: Europe is barking up completely the wrong tree. It is doubling down on old alliances, clinging to U.S. dependency and imagining that the U.S. will intervene militarily in a war on its behalf. It is ignoring the shifting tides of power and in the case of Ukraine, realities on the battlefield.
Meanwhile, those who see what’s coming - the integration of East and West, the rise of economic pragmatism over ideology - are preparing to ride the next wave of history.
In the end, it’s simple, it's about how you manage change: adapt or die.