A case for PR.
the disconnect between politicians and the public due to the first-past-the-post election system
Why Labour’s strength in the Commons is heavily exaggerated.
https://is.gd/Mg8zvs
1. Labour's Victory and the Electoral System
- Labour's win is exaggerated due to the electoral system.
- Voters rejected the Conservatives but didn't fully embrace Labour.
2. Conservative Party's Decline
- Conservative support dropped to 24%, the lowest ever.
- The party now has only 121 MPs, a historic low.
- Support fell most in their defended seats.
- Reform UK's 15% vote share weakened Conservative strongholds.
3. Impact of Reform UK
- Reform UK gained 15% of the vote, winning five seats.
- The rise in Reform support, especially in Conservative-held seats, significantly hurt the Tories.
- Nigel Farage's campaign efforts eroded Conservative support further.
4. Tactical Voting
- Voters chose Labour or Liberal Democrats strategically to defeat Conservatives.
- Labour support rose by six points in Conservative-contested seats.
- Liberal Democrats saw a nine-point rise where they were the main challengers.
5. Labour's Vote Share
- Labour won 35% of the vote, less than previous leaders Corbyn and Blair.
- This is the lowest vote share for a majority government in history.
6. Voter Turnout
- Turnout dropped by eight points to 60%, the second-lowest since 1885.
- Sharpest drop in seats where Labour polled well in 2019.
7. Disproportional Outcome
- The election result highlights the discrepancy between vote share and seats won.
- Labour's exaggerated strength in Commons may spur debate on electoral reform.
8. Challenges for Labour
- Labour's stance on Gaza and its tenure in Wales cost support, especially in Muslim-majority areas.
- To maintain power, Starmer needs to prove his party's capability to handle their new responsibilities.
9. Comparison of Parties
- Reform had a 14% vote share but only won five seats.
- Liberal Democrats, with a 12% vote share, secured 71 seats.
- This discrepancy underscores the dis proportionality of the electoral system.
10. First Hundred Days
- Initial outrage at Parliament not representing the people.
- Large proportion of people whose votes were wasted due to FTPT.
- Then realisation that the same problems that the Tories had failed to fix, still confront the new Labour government, with the same financial and pluralist constraints
- Impression of a bankrupt country, in administration.
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