Friday, 26 January 2024

RUSSIAN CRIMES

26 January 2024

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/ukraine-war-russia-fridge-parts-uk-b2483117.html

Stunning version of what's going on, a pantheon of propaganda, but overlooking other important Russian failures, acts and omissions:

- Russia's military in the Ukraine invasion is resorting to dismantling household appliances for parts
- the war has set back Russia's military modernisation by nearly two decades
- Russia desperate, such as ordering weapons from North Korea and using Iranian drones 
- significant casualties and setbacks on the field
- the war benefits noone, neither Russians nor Ukrainians
- UK pledges continued support to Ukraine: military aid and humanitarian assistance 
- mistreatment of Russian mobilised troops, beatings by military commanders and challenging conditions at training grounds.

Yea yea...😃😃😃

What about:
 
- Russia's heinous record of intl malfeasance
- sanctions have ruined Russia's economy
- Russia has no friends
- Russia has five years left to live, that's all it's got.

Joking, right?

Monday, 22 January 2024

IS THE WEST IN NEED OF NATIONALISM

22 January 2024

How to "ensure the survival of our nation and culture". This is what we want, but The West is not doing a good job here and I wonder why. 

You might think that the problem in Ukraine is the same as the problem in Israel, in the sense that at the local level, these are civil war where one side is trying to push the other out of the country. Could the same circumstances provoke civil war in the UK?

Situations get out of control when, within the one state, a people are divided linguistically, religiously, culturally, along some fundamental line of cleavage, and the sides become intolerant of each other.

So you get to thinking that genocide, ethnic cleansing, deportation ... call it what what you want ...but basically the creation of a second state for one of the two sides to flee to and seek refuge in; or alternatively keep the minority for manual work, but suppress all their civil rights.

The appliction of this logic leads to:
- Bombing or secession of the Eastern provinces of Ukraine 
- The two-state solution for Israel or an apartheid state
- And maybe a Homeland for the Hindus or the Sikhs or I don't know what in the UK... a Homeland for the British!

But maybe this is wrong thinking, because the problem is not that the two cultures are irreconcilable, it is that the government has failed to integrate them.

And the case that proves this is actually Russia, because Russia is made up of five different ethnicities (at least, the neocon plan was to break the RF up into five statelets and pillage its abundant resources). But reality is that the Russian government has avoided civil war and all the different and diverse ethnicities are integrated into the Russian motherland.

The best example of this being Chechnya. We remember two facts at the same time : one is the Islamic insurgency or Sunni Jihad, which resulted in Grozny being flattened ; and the second is the outstanding contribution the Chechnyans have made to the war in Ukraine.

So really instead of seeking two-state solutions, with the country diminishing itself geopolitically and economically, perhaps we should ask why Kiev and Tel Aviv failed to integrate the Russian speakers and the Muslims respectively and respectfully. And that would be a useful lesson for our own troubles in France and the UK.

Incidentally, the West does not understand this "talking point" at all. The West thinks that Russia has imperial ambitions and Putin is a monster. It thinks Kiev's bombing the Russian-speakers in the east from 2014 was Russia's pretext for its invasion, but it wasn't a pretext at all it was a provocation, it was what provoked the "unprovoked" invasion and diabolising Putin sets everyone's emotions on edge when cooler, calculating, Russian heads are prevailing. 

Western government sources would have us believe the war in Ukraine began on 24 Febraury 2022 and in  Gaza on 7th October 2023.

In reality, it seems to be a problem of different identities unable to find their place within one National Identity. At the base of a successful integration is nationalism, a strong sense of common belonging, nuanced by recognising local differences or identities, of being Russian before all else, the motherland, for example.

France could really do with this. France is desperately in need of integrating the 10 to 20% of its population that has an identity from North Africa. Salafism or Wahhabism is dying out in the Middle East, with MBS in Saudi and al Sisi having removed the Brotherhood from Egypt and in Abu Dhabi, Dubai or the UAE generally, you have a greater sense of freedom walking about there than you do in many of the suburbs of large cities in France. Thus Arab or Muslim extremism is receding ... unless we in The West give it comfort.

So perhaps the reason why nationalism doesn't work on these guys in France of Arab extraction is more that they remember the colonial experience, especially Algeria, and feel the mistreatment continues in the metropole, rather than because they're Muslim and are looking to convert us from our own beliefs and rules to Islam and Charia. It is civil rights rather than wars of religion. After, they are human too, no? Want peace, prosperity, free to worship whomsoever, send their kids to a good school, move to the suburbs or a nice house further out with a garden and a swing, no?

And what about America, where there appears to be a moral nihilism on the part of the elite and an existential nihilism on the part of the people? The original Protestant settlers exterminated the native population (hello hello), as being sub-human. And then brought in large numbers of Africans which it has never succeeded in integrating, there has been only trouble since the civil rights movement of the 60s. (Civil rights is real equality of treatment under the law, for blacks, for russian-speakers, for palestinians...).

In our Western democracies, the oligarchs rise to the surface, exploit their power And seem to run Congress as part of the military industrial complex, but in a so-called totalitarian (ie no western style democracy with alternance of parties in power) states like China, noone is beyond the reach of state-defined justice. Jack Ma was getting too big for his boots and he was relegated, as were the oligarchs like Mikhail Khodorkovsky in Russia - this was one of the first things Putin did to end the post-Soviet chaos and create structures and order. 

So that looks like the triumph of equality, to unite ethnically / religeously / linguistically different peoples. Unite through fair and equal treatment into one national identity. You know it's working when Muslims go to fight and die for Russia in Ukraine

Equality. So is it democracy (freedom) v. equality? 

Maybe that is what stops the West from integrating its diverse minorities ... here is the irony, or hypocrisy if you prefer. Western liberal democracies drop their border walls to let in diverse peoples whom they proceed to exploit and then wonder why there are these distractions like identity / culture wars and woke parades and civil rights disturbances and cancellations for those outside the box ( like those who've read this far!) and eventually Civil War.


[ For another time, are Liberals pushing individualism too far, at the expense of a stabilising collective identity?]

Sunday, 21 January 2024

THE FINAL SOLUTIONS

21 Janury 2024

We want to understand what's been going on the world geopolitical stage - if it isn't Ukraine then it's Gaza if it isn't gather then it's time when why do we feel so much closer to World War 3; and what can we do to find peace the other side of the conflicts?

Based on the principles of Godzilla (who was the biggest, meanest bully on the block), one-culture one-country, and balance-of-power geopolitics, I feel there's a good and final high-level understanding that most objective and rational people could agree on ( if only they can be left free of this terrible claustrophobic Western propaganda, and allowed to think for themselves from the available and build their own narrative understanding).

The principal goal of any nation state is to keep secure and conserve or improve its position in the anarchic world order of nation states. 

American objective in this regard is to weaken Russia first, to prevent a China-Russia alliance, then America will be free to focus on its principal adversary which is China.

Second, after Russia, America's objective is to avoid a link-up between Russia and Germany and this explains its European policy and why it has weakened Europe, while taking sales ( breaking Germany's commercial link with China and sucking talent and industry out of Europe and into America, from where it can make the sales) and raising costs the point of detonating the Nordstream pipeline) as eliminating another potential threat for the future.

In passing, we can acknowledge the failure of American foreign policy in the realm of military and and financial sanctions.

You can call the solution in Gaza genocide, ethnic cleansing, deportation or simply one-culture one-country. 

A template solution : have a West Ukraine while Russia integrates Russian speakers in the East, try a two-state solution with an independent Palestine  and an independent Taiwan. Ie have separate sovereign states; and use balance of power geopolitics to mark borders and maintain sovereignty.

This is a divide and rule strategy by splitting bigger nation states into smaller it makes it much easier for America to dominate the geopolitics.

Thursday, 18 January 2024

IS AMERICA'S MADNESS REVERSIBLE?

18 January 2024

From time to time, I watch these nature films and also the boxing. They are about violence, first recourse is to violence. Like the American reaction towards the Palestinians. Or America's response to Russia, that finally responded vack to America by entering Ukraine after years of fearing invasion.

We human animals quit the jungle and agreed to live together in tribal settlements for protection from outside attack by animals and other tribes. To manage the impulse to violence inside the group, to keep order and direct energies, we developed religion and began building the rule of law.

That's all very rational. But America's behaviour increasingly defies reason, it goes beyond simply wanting to maintain its world hegemony (athough that explains a lot) and now we see only threats and actual violence.

America spends no time on foreign policy analysis and no effort was made evaluating the programs of work necessary for success, such as would the military supply chain be up to the challenge.

No reflection before action, no planning after setting the goals, nothing except an immediate recourse to violence. Why is this?

It's true that the political leadership in the West is mediocre, some leaders have been mad, others senile even, but given that foreign policy doesn't change much from one Administration to the next, it's not really the leadership that's deciding foreign policy, it's what we call the Deep State keeping up the momentum of wars, so this won't explain the serious mistakes in American foreign policy.

Although Congress seems to be a most corrupt place, where in reality it is the military industrial complex calling the shots, the congresspeople as paid spokespersons for commercial causes, this still doesn't explain satisfactorily, to me at least, why America would get itself into three seriously-losing positions, on three war fronts, with three nuclear powers, and all at the same time. Why are they not seeing the colossal risks, let alone the injustices?

Europe has been neutralised, France has lost its voice and lost its way since Mitterand, and Germany didn't see the American maneuver coming. So Europe is not there to warn America, it daren't.

Never mind what all the clever Talking Heads tell us in the alternative media, no one in power listens to them.

It's very apparent that America has lost its head and become irrational, plain irrational - it is destroying others as well as itself and as I say, it is hard to see why. There's no listening, no internal dialogue within the elite, only conflict,  propaganda and cancellation; and there's no external dialogue or diplomacy, only war. 

If you are not inside the small box of permitted thinking then you are outside and you are ignored or cancelled. And yet, I believe in a plurality of voices and let the best ideas win through. This is what democracy is about. If we don't work like that, we have a dictatorship or fascism, call it what you want.

No listening, no reflection, no objective thinking, no analysis of history. There's just an immediate resort to violence ... so we are back in the jungle!

It was religion and the rule of law that was supposed to keep the peace, so if there is no peace, little social cohesion left - as evidenced by the culture wars, the mass demonstrations, the rise of populism - it must be due to the collapse of a cultural or moral framework, once offered by religion. Religion gives a vision (of heaven and hell as motivator to individual acts), a common way of life (the Commandments and catechism, rewards and punishments for morality) and a set of values (the protestant ethic starts with education, there is a belief in progress from hard work, this needs discipline, thrift and discovery, there is great moral pressure on the individual). Religion unifies and controls ... or it used to. 

Thesis: the Puritan Work Ethic united the people in praise of the Lord. Now that's dissappeared, replaced by science, people feel pushed into extreme individualism, to deny limits once set by our collective identities. By identities, we understandI mean, your race, your culture, your orientation, your gender...all these things you are free to choose. This means that "society", "the family", all these groups we belong to and define who we are, all are swept away. 

With the result Western governments are losing physical, moral and financial control and are devising more and more methods to control their people.
 
Our reserve of tolerance and restraint is broken, it's just constant stress and in-fighting and attempts by the elite at Total Control through blatant propaganda, social credits, discrediting those telling uncomfortable truths, outlawing protest. This strips out our capacity for rational thought and leaves us reacting emotionally and instinctively.

I think that to arrive at this state, our society and its leadership suffer from some kind of group psychological madness. Behaviour is no longer guided by reason but by animal responses. Perhaps an anthropologist could explain this one day...  it looks to be a form of nihilism, this is what happens when an elite loses its sense of purpose and when the people lose their moral sense, Society disaggregates and becomes anomic. Doesn't that characterise the United States today? And increasingly the United Kingdom?

Seems we have the re-emergence of irrational animal instincts. We have this madness that we cannot explain through any kind of rational analysis.

So what to do about this? The usual route for dealing with madness is to get back in touch with reality and attempt to adapt to the real world ie change, respond to the opportunities and threats on offer. Means relaxing, opening doors, listening to the winds of change.

Sunday, 14 January 2024

IF THE AMERICAN ORDER IS DEFUNCT, WHY DOES EUROPE STILL SUPPORT IT?


14 January 2024

Why does Britain continue to contribute to Ukraine? It can only be out of blind deference, it is because of black-and-white thinking - if you are not with us, you're against us.

Reality is, we are in a multi-polar world and that requires listening, diplomacy, negotiation, cooperation. But the West are in a state of denial or resistance.

The West is blind to the construction work underway in The Rest of the world. How to explain this resistance to change? Why for example has Britain just agreed to contribute another £2b of borrowed money to the war in Ukraine, when its own infrastructure and economy are crumbling?

Reality is, no-one anywhere, not even in China which is only really interested in commerce, would be necessarily against the American Empire, provided America is a fair and comprehensive umpire. The problem is it just doesn't work as-described at Bretton Woods anymore, the game is broken, it no longer lives up to the promise, it no longer lives by its own rules.

THE PROMISE

We know that in the US, the system of kickbacks, from industry to campaign funds, and the Wall St. ethic of short-term gain, is what keeps Congress ever-looking for the next war. It would seem to work like this:

 The outlook is maritime (and they thought they could fuck Russia?). 

 The frame is global dominance and free trade. 

 The method is the international rules-based Order, keeping the shipping lanes open for trade, one world currency for payments and safe storage of profits.

 The organisation is through the global units, set up around Bretton Woods in 1944:

  IMF for a common trading currency and any balance-of-payments problems

  The World Bank for the reconstruction of Europe, then Japan and South Korea and later to assist the development of "the Third World"'s infrastructure and economies.

  GATT now WTO, for fair trade.

THE REALITY

 AMERICA

The decline of these lofty ideals set in with decolonisation, corruption and finally Biden. Reality is, the Global Resistance pushed back against the use of the military and sanctions  instead of discussion. China worries about the value of its US govt bonds in the face of heavy indebtedness and borrowing.

 THE UK

In 2016, it was popularily recognised in Britain that a strong Europe comes from a Europe of Nations and that the European Commission was completely wrong in thinking that a federal Europe would be a strong Europe - reality is, the EU is "a house divided against itself". The only problem here is that the British Elite have failed to recognise this truth, and - as expected - have proven themselves incapable of competently managing a sovereign UK.

 EUROPE

Europe's response never ceases to amaze! Where is its diagnosis of its problems?  Europe has lost its Enlightenment ability to critically observe and adapt, and is floating like a cork in a rising tide of irrelevance and impotence.

Brussels, in its deference to Washington, doesn't see how America has severely weakened the European economy, created massive supply problems -  especially in energy - left it defenceless, voiceless and of no strategic importance in world affairs; and now has a cesspool-of-a-war bubbling away at its heart. 

What situation could be worse than this? Yet the EU (lately dwindling member support) and UK don't see any of this, they just resist the construction of a new multi-polar world Order that is taking place before them, under their noses.

It is Make-Believe v. Reality.



Saturday, 13 January 2024

HOPES FOR PEACE IN THE WORLD 2024

13 January 2024

In three geopolitical regions of the world now - the Middle East, Europe and East Asia - the future of humanity and this planet is threatened by all-out direct war between super-powers, so let us try to imagine how peace might descend on the world in 2024.

PEACE IN THE MIDDLE EAST


Various currents are coming together in the Middle East with the Arab nations uniting in a sense of common identity and a common future. Relaxing this way results in a more tolerant and less aggressive interpretation of Islam, a drawing away from America and the West, a turning East looking to Asia and  emerging groupings such as the BRICS, and an increasing self-reliance, confidence and self-assertiveness.

Iran to the East is Persian of course, but is included in the Middle East, as is Turkey to the North in the Proche Orient, together with Egypt to the West linking the Middle East to North Africa. This makes the Middle East a crossroads between Asia Europe and Africa.

Arab nations finding common cause is a big problem for Israel. Israel sees itself as a separate ethnic group, but Jews and Arabs are semites, what tells them apart is their religion. Jews are a religious community not an ethnic grouping. Israel is governed by Ashkenazi Jews holding to an extreme version - and political ideology - of the religion called Zionism. Let's remember that Zionism was built by the mad Ashkenazis fleeing the maddening European pogroms (so in a sense we created this horror, a kind of anti-Christ philosophy sharing much with the philosophy of that mustachioed gentleman). 

Will Israel catch up on this new trend from aggression to tolerance? It is certainly in its interests to do so. After all, if Israel wants to be accepted by its neighbours, then surely it should accept its Muslim subjects by according them rights of citizenship. And what if America recalibrates to gradually withdraw from the ME - the Jewish Lobby would become powerless to retainAmerican suppory for the 51st state*.

So point being that although absolutely no-one believes In a one-state solution, that is only because people here, Western elites and popular opinion, are trapped in yesterday's thinking. It is quite possible that Israelis will come to abandon Zionism as unworkable - they are a very pragmatic lot, which accounts for their outstanding success as well as their widespread persecution ("anti-Zionist", not "anti-Semitic"!) - and accept a non-apartheid, one-state solution where they live cheek by jowl with other Arab albeit non-hebraic, people, as they did before "Partition" ... And if it can't do this then remember that Humpty Dumpty could not be put back together again (look at where America's foreign policy mistakes have left Its victims today).

...Of course you could say that this confuses the meaning of Semite and Arab and  overlooks the profound hostility expressed in the Quran towards Jewish people, but then again wasn't there also a similar hostility between Sunni and Shia?

So that is the hope for peace in the Middle East and the alternative is that the Jewish community evacuate to another part of the world, possibly Argentina, to avoid destruction.

* Is America's Israel Lobby Ashkenazi? My impression is that the only Messianic Zionists are those living in Israel and that American Jews are far more liberal, ignorant of what is happening in Gaza and not entirely Jewish.

PEACE IN EUROPE

If the Middle East is toning down the aggression, finding a unity, drawing away from America and developing a self-reliance; then could this be a global trend that will eventually hit Europe? In other words, in a spiritual re-awakening, might Western Europe come to realise that it has much in common with the rest of humanity and in particular those Europeans living the other side of the border-zone between West Europe and Russia? We in West Europe certainly need to draw away from the American neocons as they have brought disaster upon us, so that would be a long and difficult path to follow, requiring technology and military industries and a security framework with Rissia, but a most welcome path.

In support of this argument about a new trend sweeping out of desert, we can remind ourselves that the three abrahamic religions, which are followed by 60% of humanity, originated in the Middle East, meaning this move to peace and tolerance has a spiritual dimension.

Those are quite reasonable hopes for peace in the Middle East and in Europe and while we are at it, consider the situation between America and China.

PEACE BETWEEN CHINA AND AMERICA

The issue with Taiwan is much the same as the issue with Ukraine. China does not want an American platform on its border, containing, or limiting, its freedom of movement, and threatening its sovereignty and security. 

You could argue that if Taiwan can promise neutrality, it will be spared destruction, in the same way that the government in Kiev was most unwise to accept the invitation to join NATO, and the people of Israel to follow the extreme beliefs of the Likud party.

The destruction of Taiwan would not be good news for America's strategy of containment, but neither would it be good for China because China too would pay a heavy price for challenging American global hegemony.

So it seems that Taiwan could offer a neutrality in exchange for Chinese protection, both countries living under a common roof ... "one roof, two apartments" ... more a treaty than a federal solution or some supra-national body like the EU or ASEAN.... perhaps Taiwan's joining ASEAN (which incidentally organised a conference attended by 27 countries following Nancy Pelosi's mad and irrational visit last year) could start the ball rolling.

When trying to imagine how China and Taiwan could feel about each other, this video about a common enemy and shared experience, is useful

https://youtu.be/NQ0q0-jBfik?si=VFaYgyfgpBZk5UU_


Wednesday, 10 January 2024

DO SOME PEOPLE TALK TOO MUCH?

10 January 2024

https://youtu.be/pDTBAiuxGcM?si=llKXF-s-ei6ySc8H

Does Mercouris talk to much? Are his Youtube videos too long? Why do some people talk so much?

"The first thing to say is", well, he is a lawyer!!!

A lawyer has two complexities to deal with.

One is his client's case. Cases don't get to court unless they are complicated and ambiguous.

And he has the law to manage which is also complexed and nuanced.

And his goal must be to fully explain his client's case and make sure that the judge understands it. 

So yes they can be quite long-winded, with lots of repetition as they navigate the intricate details of the case and its legal framework. 

All in a crisp confident clear voice; but low-key ie unemotional, factual, objective.

But I totally agree, 86 minutes is enough for a really long and deep snooze during the day!!! He'd do better to spend more time in planning and preparation with diverse supporting collaterals, and less in delivery.

Plus he could include his "brief" with plan, as agenda items, and his skeleton arguments (we can see he does what all lawyers do and anyone who has a case to argue: they always prepare skeleton arguments which they then talk through). So plan and skeletons as slides.

And other illustrative media such as film, interviews, graphs... 

But then again, lawyers of a certain age and above do not have much of a grasp of modern IT and PowerPoint and apps, plus he is handicapped by his poor sight.

"Anyway" ...