Saturday, 13 May 2023

IS THIS UKRAINE'S COUNTER OFFENSIVE?

13 May 2023

Ref Bahkmut these last couple of days.

What happened was that there was clearly a Ukrainian attack. The Russian defence ministry says that the Ukrainians were repelled. The attacks seem to have been on a fairly large scale. They were probably more than probing-with-force attacks.

But if this was an attempted offensive then even if we allow for a degree of exaggeration from the Russian side, the offensive - if this was intended to be the start of some kind of Ukrainian defensive around Bahkmut -  the offensive appears at least for the moment to have been unsuccessful. The Ukrainians were pushed back and the Russian army defenses have held so far at least.

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