https://www.ft.com/content/fb879510-c2bb-4a04-8e36-182078ae15ec?sharetype=blocked
https://www.ibtimes.com/new-covid-model-predicts-over-1-million-deaths-china-through-2023-3648316
Opening up was delayed pending Xi's reelection. China's zero-COVID policy may have been effective at keeping earlier variants of the virus at bay, but the high transmissibility of Omicron variants made it impossible to sustain. Public protests were decisive in getting the leadership to understand this.
You've got to ask what was the point of three years of lockdowns? The lack of preparedness makes opening up seem like a panicked response to growing civil unrest.
Why were the Chinese unable to develop an effective vaccine? mRNA technology has been around in the West for 30 years. And if they couldn't build, however humiliating, for the sake of their people, they should really have bought production lines.
What is interesting is that China is running the experiment the West rejected: herd immunity through natural selection. But even here, the West's plan was nuanced: it was to manage the process by openings followed by shutdowns when the infection rate became too intense, thus slowing adaption. The Chinese seem to have thrown caution to the wind.
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