The Wagner has taken on the mission of destroying the Ukrainian army in Bakmut (spelling). The purpose is to demilitarise Ukraine* - looks like this will mean wrecking the whole country (energy, comms), whilst the popn flees to Russia or Europe (Poland).
*Denazify, no NATO, autonomy for Russian East - was built by Catherine the Great late 18C.
Most likely scenario
Then Ukraine will fall to Poland in the West, back to Russia in the East (Novorossiya: to Odessa and round to Southern Transnistria is possible).
Leaving a landlocked rump that will fall under Russian influence.
Fine mess the Americans got us into.
Other scenarios
Stalemate and perpetual war. With strains on EU and NATO risking their breakup.
Ukraine starts defeating Russia and Russia responds with nuclear in Ukraine only. NATO America would almost certainly not respond, fearing MAD.
NATO America enters Ukraine. Here, could get MAD.
As I say, fine mess the Americans got us into
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Keep it clean, keep it lean