12 November 2022
Sell out of a losing position, crystallse lossses, is a hard thing Difficult to bring oneself to accept defeat, always hoping that the story one believed in at the start will pass through this period of turbulence and confusion and turn out to be true.
It must be like that with Zelensky. If we are to believe post-Kherson propaganda, the Russians are re-arranging their pieces in preparation for a long war, with no negotiations expected, which is just as America planned it from the start.
Except short of a third world war, Russia will grind down everything opposing her in the east, in her New Russia, which includes Odessa and might even stretch up Transnistria, who knows?
Zelensky's got the choice to hold or fold - to accept the loss of a hundred thousand men from his army, from his people, to save 80% of his country and maybe keep an access to the Black Sea. Or if he goes on fighting, he'll lose more territory, lose his economy, lose the support of his people and eventually The West. Maybe his country will turn out to be landlocked.
That's assuming that Western supplies do not prevail over the extra quarter of a million men and machines arriving from Russia. I'd imagine the American and NATO troops massing on the border are waiting till the Russian army in Ukraine is destroyed, before entering and cleaning up.
So I'd imagine that the retreat from Kherson, which began with evacuation of the Russian civilians in that city, is not as important as Western propaganda would have us believe.
I can sympathise with Zelenski having to accept that his share in Russian Eastern Ukraine won't get any better; and so he should sell, ie negotiate and go and be happy to have saved something of his country.
Wishful thinking perhaps.
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Keep it clean, keep it lean