THINGS'LL BE DIFFERENT THIS TIME ... REALLY

28 November 2022 https://fortune.com/2022/11/23/how-bad-economy-recession-top-economist-mohamed-el-erian-federal-reserve/RESUMÉThe world isn't just teetering on the brink of another recession. Economic theory says that a recession occurs when a business cycle reaches its natural endpoint and then after the next cycle starts. But this time won't be just one more turn of the economic wheel because major changes will outlast this current...

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THE CASE AGAINST THE WEST

26 November 2022 It is my assessment that people are under quite a lot of illusions about Russia, illusions fed from the propaganda machine of the WestIf you think that this was an unprovoked invasion after 120,000 Russian troops massed on the border, if you think that Russia is about to run out of missiles or microchips, if you think the army is in disarray and unable to fight, if you think Bucha was Russian war crimes, if you think that...

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IS COUNSELLING A GOOD IDEA?

26 November 2022 I think everyone benefits from counselling - assistance, especially from a professional, with the resolution of personal difficulties - in the sense that we are all curious about who we are, we want to know more about ourselves, to understand and improve, as well as to stave off stresses and low-level anxiety... that is the mark of this period in human history, at least in advanced economies. It wasn't like that in the...

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WHY ISRAEL MEDDLES IN UKRAINE (RUSSIA)

23 November 2022 https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/israel-gives-russia-ultimatum-over-iranian-arms-supplies---rIsrael. A very small country in the Middle East. But it seems desperate to get involved in Ukraine, which is very far away. Telling Russia what to do. Why has Israel such a global reach? Why does it seek to meddle in so many countries?Israel is a Western power yet bows to Russia? Why?In this post, let us consider only...

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ORIGINS OF THE UKRAINE WAR

21 November 2022 A few ideas - three - for understanding what's going on in Ukraine. One is, it would be quite useful to look up Mackinder's Heartland as the timeless backdrop:Who rules Eastern Europe commands the HeartlandWho rules the Heartland commands the World IslandWho rules the World Island commands the world.Two, is to realise that this is actually America wanting to stamp on any potential rival as it has always done since...

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CHIANG MAI LUANG PRABANG

BOAT1.  Mekong river the first job is to get to the river... you would catch a minivan from Chiang Mai it takes about 6 hours or you would alternatively get a van to Chiang Rai. Stay overnight there and then by Green bus which takes two to three hours and the hotel where you are staying - they're all the same - will fix you up for a van ride to Chiang Khong, which takes 2 hours.2. So you leave Chiangrai at 6 in the morning and the van will drop you off at the boat 2 hours later, where you meet everyone else... there are about 70 people...

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ECKHART TOLLE

15 November 2022https://youtu.be/Ko_peK-7I5A"Some changes look negative on the surface but you will soon realize that space is being created in your life for something new to emerge.""Realize deeply that the present moment is all you ever have.""Life is an adventure, it's not a package tour"~Eckhart TolleMAIN POINTSMaybe you know Eckhart Tolle? Certainly you know Russel Brant.Eckhart is a bit of a messiah- or prophet-type distant figure,...

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CLIMATE CHANGE

14 November 2022 The West wants The Global South to join it in a forward-looking project to decarbonise the world. So why does it try to offshore its own energy production? The rules let you offset by eg buying up farmland. This is more plea-bargaining.DEFINITIONS"The West", "The Global South" > philosophically, this is the spread of European ideas on freedom and democracy to The US, Australia and after WW2 Japan, S Korea and Taiwan....

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ARE THE UKRAINIANS BEATING THE RUSSIANS?

12 November 2022 Sell out of a losing position, crystallse lossses, is a hard thing  Difficult to bring oneself to accept defeat, always hoping that the story one believed in at the start will pass through this period of turbulence and confusion and turn out to be true.It must be like that with Zelensky. If we are to believe post-Kherson propaganda, the Russians are re-arranging their pieces in preparation for a long war, with no...

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WILL PUTIN ATTEND THE G20 IN BALI?

7 November 2022 Now here is a puzzle for us and maybe a bigger puzzle for me only because I am closer...I m very curious about G22 next week. Zelensky has refused to attend if Putin is there. Other leaders have said that Putin's hands are covered in blood and our MSM tell us that no-one wants to be at the same table as him.I think Putin will not come to Bali.Actually I am very curious. Bali is closer, I am not like you as that war is far...

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EUROPE, THE WEST AND EURASIA

6 November 2022 One thing I like to start with is clarity over definitions.So it is really important to understand the importance of balance of power geopolitics and to distinguish between Europe, the West and Eurasia.EUROPE, THE WEST AND EURASIAEUROPE, of which the EU is but a part, includes 80% of the Russian population. It is in De Gaulle's words "Europe from the Urals to the Atlantic". But Europe is divided east and west by a line...

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EVERYTHING YOU WANTED TO KNOW ABOUT BRITAIN'S LDI CRISIS

5 November 2022 https://www.ft.com/content/f4a728a5-0179-48bd-b292-f48e30f8603cFar as I can ever work out, that film "Margin Call" didn't really tell the whole story of the Sub Prime crisis. The scam was bigger than portrayed in the film. To understand it it is necessary to understand how the bond markets work and how they are the absolute core of the entire financial system - any problems in bond markets and the financial system teeters...

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HOW MUSK COULD REGULATE TWITTER

4 November 2022https://youtu.be/SHpusaIBQyI Russel Brand and Jordan Peterson, both themselves pretty inflammatory personages, discuss anger and love and freedom in the online Town Square, and how Elon Musk might constrain these online "demons spewing toxic waste into the landscape", now that he is running Twitter. The problem is that online, there aren't the normal social controls that would mean if you said that kind of stuff down...

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RUSSIA'S USE OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS draft

https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/russias-new-strategy-for-nuclear-war/Zelensky called for pre emptive nuclear strikes on Russia.You have to trawl through hundreds of years of history to get the real deep sense of russophobia and this will help to understand why one side or the other will take the entire world with it rather than surrenderStill, look on the bright side, we do have a choice of suicides - not gun, jump off cliff or gas yourself - it's nuclear oblivion, economic the industrial ization and collapse into starvation, then there's...

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ON THE INELUCTABLE PATH TO NUCLEAR WAR

1 November 2022 1. YOU DON'T HAVE TO BE A PUTIN APOLOGIST TO...You don't have to be a Putinist to believe stories of covert CIA operations to defeat Russia - just read America's own official archive:https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1945-50Intel/d292One interesting point coming out from reading that and similar doc.s - such as RAND_RR3063.pdf - is to realise that not simply will America refuse all negotiation with Russia, but...

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