WHAT IS "THE GREAT REPLACEMENT"?

25 June 2022

You see in France that Eric Zemmour made a great start in the Presidential election and got 18% and then dropped down through the floor through 7 to 4% in the second round and failed to win a single seat in the legislative elections.

He made many mistakes in his campaign, but the mainstream media are trying to get him to apologise for his saying that the greatest issue facing France is an identity issue and is not a cost of living issue.

His party is called Reconquest and his issue is called The Great Replacement. What is it about?

It is not some conspiracy theory where there are plotters who are moving in their people from south of the Mediterranean and the Sahel to take our places in France. No.

It is an observation. An observation that there are more and more women in the streets wearing the hijab and men dressed in jelabas. That if you look at the Register of births marriages and deaths, you see that those dying are called Pierre and Lucette and those being born are called Mohammed and Fatihah. That the average number of births to Muslim families is greater than to classic French families.

There's also a regret or sadness at the cultural loss that can be epitomised in the replacement of boeuf bourguignon by couscous.

And then there's that disgraceful story of the Stade de France where the English got blamed for Arab scum misbehaviour. They live off welfare and get poor results at school and in the workforce. They threaten our security. We are heading for civil war.

This is more than simple political manipulation: it indicates that politicians are afraid of reality. That's a very good point.

So Eric zemmour is projecting these trends into a future 5 or 10 years away and that's what the great replacement is about.

But why didn't the French share his opinion? The answer is that the short-term drove out the long-term in the shape of a) the war in Ukraine (prior to the Invasion, Zemmour was sympathetic to Putin's arguments and he also did not think it right that France take in refugees); and b) the cost of living crisis (that resulted from the war as well as from covid). 

And that seems like a very good point to me, and this is the problem with democracy. You have the technocrats - efficient, fair, emotionless - who assure continuity and maturity of direction from one electoral term to the next. Then you have the politicians who are prisoners really of increasingly diverse groupuscules of public opinion and powerless against global forces for change.  And finally, you have a public who can only think of their short-term troubles. But politicians overwhelmed by powerful global and domestic forces are powerless to represent them, they system loses credibility, winning your case becomes more important than preserving the system by respecting the majority.

That is how civilisations collapse - they crumble from the inside out.