WOULD THE PEOPLE OF NORTHERN IRELAND VOTE TO STAY IN THE UNION?

Cape 25 Sep 2021

Of the 18 MPs elected in 2019 in Northern Ireland to the UK Parliament, 9 nine are Irish Nationalists, 8 eight are Unionist and 1 one is unaligned.

7 Seven of the Nationalists won't take up their seats at Westminster as they don't acknowledge the legitimacy of British rule.

All 5 five of the border constituencies returned Irish Nationalist MPs. 3 Three of the 4 four Belfast constituencies elected Irish Nationalists.

But is the union is on the way out?

Those 9 nine nationalist MPs got 37.7% of the vote and the 8 eight unionists 42.3%. With the unaligned with 16.8%, reckon 65% of their supporters would vote to stay in the U.K. and even 9% of Sinn Fein Fein voters and 35% of SDLP voters would vote to remain in the U.K. i.e. there has been no change in the percentage of NI voters who would opt for a united Ireland in the past 40 years. 

Seems it's not going to happen anytime soon.